Location
Basingstoke, UNITEDKINGDOM(GENERAL), United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Posted on
Apr 19, 2020
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Build a Football Soccer Prediction Model: Poisson Distribution in Excel
Create a predictive model for football games based on Poisson distribution.
Take historical results for the past 2 and a half seasons to calculate the number of goals teams score and concede. These averages are compared to the league average and used to create values for attacking strength and defensive strength for every team, which are then turned into goal expectation figures. This metric is put into a Poisson Distribution formula which works out the probability of every result when two teams face each other for the remaining seasons games.
Skills:
Excel
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